We dramatically overestimate how much failure will hurt
Citing Dan Gilbert and Tim Wilson's affective forecasting research, Grant explains we overestimate both how much failure will sting and how long it lasts. Professors going up for tenure predicted five years to recover from a rejection, but most bounced back within six months. The default human response to adversity, per George Bonanno's work, is not PTSD but resilience — we have a 'psychological immune system' that helps us find meaning and move on.
- Tenure candidates predicted 5 years of pain; most recovered in 6 months
- The default response to setbacks is resilience, not chronic stress
- A 'psychological immune system' generates antibodies to help us cope
- The rumination before and after often hurts more than the event itself
“most of us dramatically overestimate how much failure is going to sting and also how long that sting is going to last”
“the default response to adversity is not PTSD it's not chronic stress it's actually resilience”